Friday, May 6, 2011

Final 5 Results

Finally, the Stank is gone! There's not much more to say, other than: thank the lord it wasn't Haley.

We're getting down to clutch time, so it's harder to predict what's going to happen-- but this much is true: the handy Bottom 3 theory really works! All the way back in Top 11 week results show, I had predicted Scotty, Lauren, James and Jacob (swap out Pia for Haley) would be in the Top 5, based on Bottom 3 showings. And that's how it worked out! And Scotty/James (and maybe even Lauren, despite the late Bottom 2 showing) are still on lock to win-- something I've been predicting since the Top 11 as well.

Also, looking at the list, Pia was the only contestant eliminated so far on her very first Bottom 3 showing-- everyone else appeared at least once before actually getting cut.

So for all you non-beleivers, pay attention for season 11: appearing in the Bottom 3 is the kiss of death (in terms of #winning)

Top 4 Most-Likely-To-Win Rankings:
1.) Scotty McCreery
2.) James Durbin
3.) Lauren Alaina (Bottom 2: Final 5)
4.) Haley Reinhart (Bottom 3: Final 13, 12, 8, 7)
5.) Jacob Lusk (Bottom 3: Final 9, 7, 5)
6.) Casey Abrams (Bottom 3: Final 11, 6)
7.) Stefano Langone (Bottom 3: Final 11, 9, 8, 7)
8.) Paul McDonald (Bottom 3: Final 11.2, 8)
9.) Pia Toscano (Bottom 3: Final 9)
10.) Naima Adedapo (Bottom 3: Final 12, 11.2)
11.) Thia Megia (Bottom 3: Final 11, 11.2)
12.) Karen Rodriguez (Bottom 3: Final 13, 12)
13.) Ashton Jones (Bottom 3: Final 13)

Here's hoping that Jacob's soul-loving voters will all transfer to Haley (and not rocker James or country Lauren/Scotty). I think Haley has a really decent shot at Top 3, but probably not much more... especially if Lauren translates this near-ouster into a genuine moment next week.

We're almost there (and by there, I mean seeing Pia sing again at the finale)!
Z

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